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University of Oklahoma
College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences
School of Meteorology
METR 4403/5403
Application of Meteorological Theory to Severe Thunderstorm Forecasting
Spring 2025
Course Meeting Times : Monday, Wednesday, Friday 09:30-10:20am
Location: NWC 1350
Logistics for office hours of Dr. Xue: Office hours will generally be in person in Ming Xue's office NWC 2502, but if needed Zoom session can be arranged using the following link. See more details in Syllabus.
Send me an email before hand in that case.
SPC Instructors: Andrew Moore, Andrew Lyons, Harry Weinman, and other Guest Lecturers
Emails: andrew.moore@noaa.gov, andrew.lyons@noaa.gov, and harry.weinman@noaa.gov
Office hours: by appointment
We will use Canvas for posting assignments, grades and other functions
Mode of class
Classes will be held in-person in NWC 1350. Course materials, including additional readings and videos, will be posted at the class website or on canvas. Prerecorded lecture videos will be used in lieu of holding make-up classes, as needed. If you are not able to attend a regular in-person class period because you are sick or because of other legitimate reasons, you will be able to attend virtually. If you cannot attend a regular in-person class period, please contact me ahead of time to let me know, and obtain the Zoom link. The two midterm exams and final exam will be held in-person in NWC 1350, so everyone should plan to attend in person on these days.
Jan 13, 2025: Introduction and Basic Ingradients for Severe Storms
Jan 15, 2025: Surface and Upper Air Analysis
Jan 17, 2025: Skew-T & Parcel Theory
Jan 22, 2025: Lapse Rate Tendency
Jan 24, 2025: Lapse Rate Tendency (continued)
Jan 27, 2025: QG Height Tendency
Jan 29, 2025: QG Omega Equation
Jan 31, 2025: Height Tendency and QG Omega Equations - continued
Feb 3, 2025: Height Tendency and QG Omega Equations - continued
Feb 5, 2025: Synoptic Exercise
Feb 7, 2025: Verrtical wind shear
Feb 10, 2025: Hodographs section 1
Feb 12, 2025: Hodographs section 2
Feb 14, 2025: Hodographs section 3
Feb 17, 2025: Convective Modes
Feb 19, 2025: Convective Mode Exercise
Feb 21, 2025: Writing Forecast Discussions
Feb 24, 2025: Forecase Exercise 1
Feb 26, 2025: Forecase Exercise 2
Feb 28, 2025: Hail Forecasting
March 3, 2025: Supercell Dynamics and Pressure Perturbations
March 5, 2025: Supercell Dynamics and Pressure Perturbations (continued)
March 7, 2025: Supercell Dynamics and Pressure Perturbations (continued)
March 10, 2025: Supercell Dynamics and Pressure Perturbations (continued)
March 12, 2025: Exam 1 Review
March 24, 2025: Fire Weather
March 26, 2025: Supercell Tornadogenesis
March 28, 2025: Supercell and Tornado Parameters
March 31, 2025: Tornado Climatology
April 2, 2025: Tornado Intensity Estimation
April 4, 2025: TC Tornadoes
April 7, 2025: TC Tornadoes - part 2
April 9, 2025: MCS and Its Motion
April 11, 2025: Derechos
Exam 2 Study Guide
Study Guide
April 14, 2025: Supercell radar applications - 1
April 16, 2025: Supercell radar applications - 2
April 18, 2025: Midterm Exam 2 (see study guide posted earlier)
April 21, 2025: Mesoscale Analysis and Forecasting
April 23, 2025: Use of CAMS for severe weather forecasting
April 25, 2025: Forecasting Psychology
Lecture materials and recordings below are from 2024 and 2023.
Jan 17, 2024: Introduction and Ingradients for Severe Storms
Jan 24, 2024: Skew-T Diagram and Parcel Theory
Jan 29, 2024: Lapse Rate Tendency
Jan 31, 2024: QG Height Tendency
Feb 5, 2024: QG Omega Equation
Feb 7, 2024: Synoptic Excercise
Feb 12, 2024: Vertical Wind Shear
Feb 14, 2024: Hodograph - Part I
Feb 19, 2024: Hodograph - Part 2
Feb 21, 2024: Mode of Convection
Feb 26, 2024: Fire weather forecasting
Feb 28, 2024: Forecast Discussions
Mar 4, 2024: Exam 1 Review
Mar 11, 2024 Supercell Dynamics and Pressure Perturbations - Part I
Mar 13, 2024: Supercell Dynamics and Pressure Perturbations - Part II
Mar 25, 2024: Forecase Exercise 1
Mar 27, 2024: Forecase Exercise 2
April 1, 2024: Tornadogenesis
April 3, 2024: TC tornadoes
April 8, 2024: Severe Composite Parameters
April 10, 2024: Tornado Climatology
April 15, 2024: Derechos
April 17, 2024: Review for Exam 2
April 24, 2024: CAM Model Forecasting
Jan 23, 2023: Parcel Theory and Skew-T Diagram - Canceled due to weather
Jan 25, 2023: Upper Air and Surface Map Analysis
Feb 1, 2023: Quasi-Geostrophic Omega Equation
Feb 6, 2023: Quasi-Geostrophic Height Tendency Equation, Frontogenesis, Jet Streak
Feb 8, 2023: Severe Weather Ingradients - More details and applications
Feb 13, 2023: Vertical wind shear
Feb 15, 2023: Hodograph-1
Feb 20, 2023: Hodograph-2
Feb 22, 2023: Convective Modes
Feb 27, 2023: MCS Forecasting
Mar 1, 2023: Forecast Decision
Mar 6, 2023: Exam 1 Review
Mar 6, 2023: Evening Review Session
Mar 20, 2023: Forecast Excercise: Blast From The Past
Mar 22, 2023: Vorticity Equations
Mar 27, 2023: Pressure Perturbation Equations
Mar 29, 2023: Tornado Climatology (Andrew Moore)
Apil 3, 2023: Tornadogenesis (by Kelton Halbert)
Apil 5, 2023: TC Tornadoes (by Harry Weinman)
Apil 10, 2023: Tornado Parameters (by Andrew Moore)
Apil 17, 2023: Fire weather forecasting (by Andrew Lyons)
Apil 19, 2023: Review for Exam 2
Apil 26, 2023: Real time forecast excercise-1
May 1, 2023: Use of CAMS for severe weathere forecasting
May 3, 2023: Forecast excercise-2
Textbooks:
None required.
Recommended: Markowski, P. and Y. Richardson: Mesoscale Meteorology in Midlatitudes. Wiley-Blackwell, 430pp
Web Resources:
A video lecture series created for this class is available online at the following website: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/spcousom/. These videos contain nearly all of the material covered in this course and will serve as a valuable student resource.
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